Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.876204 1.004296 1.143723 1.306643 1.491681 1.695198 1.935908
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.734441 0.919442 1.138037 1.414878 1.755645 2.160889 2.678904
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.599413 0.814523 1.088753 1.462753 1.958232 2.590734 3.457950
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.505502 0.741479 1.064289 1.535712 2.203837 3.113658 4.443003
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.413696 0.652320 1.001178 1.544378 2.364170 3.549401 5.385741
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.350836 0.591824 0.966590 1.585807 2.575972 4.088172 6.559755
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.287666 0.517606 0.896866 1.559787 2.679304 4.479331 7.572168
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.254189 0.485369 0.887829 1.628431 2.942780 5.156846 9.136579
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.229076 0.462516 0.889982 1.715244 3.248909 5.946116 11.000001
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.199513 0.425225 0.859240 1.736763 3.441254 6.564822 12.653925
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.172938 0.388272 0.822185 1.739086 3.596565 7.135890 14.298484
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.151231 0.356874 0.790199 1.745105 3.758218 7.737991 16.080668
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.132956 0.329673 0.762969 1.758242 3.940404 8.413101 18.117879
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.119711 0.311244 0.751346 1.802949 4.196011 9.271399 20.647624
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.104815 0.285711 0.719228 1.796443 4.339584 9.917818 22.826848
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.094986 0.270753 0.709013 1.838810 4.599528 10.848258 25.745549
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.083067 0.247713 0.674968 1.817842 4.708470 11.459677 28.038899
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.075088 0.233688 0.661059 1.844674 4.936735 12.373371 31.147861
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.065116 0.211716 0.622249 1.800208 4.980228 12.859034 33.313502
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.060797 0.205615 0.625417 1.868782 5.325274 14.118699 37.521838
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.057640 0.202432 0.636250 1.960559 5.746165 15.621610 42.529845
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.052437 0.191489 0.622546 1.980010 5.973067 16.660891 46.491216
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.047250 0.179385 0.603099 1.979226 6.143349 17.575147 50.245929